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Friday, February 29, 2008

A nation (and region) behind bars

This week, the Pew Center on the States released a bombshell study revealing that our country is locking up record numbers of people in jail and prison.

For the first time in history, the U.S. -- which, according to Pew, lock up more people than any other country, including China -- is now putting one out of every 100 people behind bars.

Beyond that shocking headline are some interesting details:

* The South leads: Thanks to its punitive justice policies, the South has led the country's incarceration boom over the last two decades -- and Pew finds 2007 was no exception:
The South led the way, with its population jumping from 623,563 to 641,024—a rise of 2.8 percent. Only three of the 16 states in the southern region reported a drop in inmates, while nine experienced growth exceeding 4 percent.
[Note: Pew's definition of the South is different than the Institute's, but that doesn't affect the numbers.]

* Race is a huge factor: Compared to the one-in-a-100 national average, one out of every 36 Hispanic males are incarcerated; for African-American men, that number jumps to one in 15.

* Florida tops the list: Pew offers Florida as a cautionary example in exploding incarceration rates, noting that the state's increase -- the highest in the country -- was not due to higher crime but "stemmed from a host of correctional policies and practices adopted by the state." For example:
One of the first came in 1995, when the legislature abolished “good time” credits and discretionary release by the parole board, and required that all prisoners—regardless of their crime, prior record, or risk to recidivate—serve 85 percent of their sentence. Next came a “zero tolerance” policy and other measures mandating that probation officers report every offender who violated any condition of supervision and increasing prison time for these “technical violations.” As a result, the number of violators in Florida prisons has jumped by anestimated 12,000.
Pew further notes that, while Florida's crime rate has gone down, it's not due to locking more people up -- other states that didn't incarcerate more people, or even locked up less people (like New York) also saw declines.

* Incarceration is costly: As Pew's analysis finds:
Total state spending on corrections—including bonds and federal contributions—topped $49 billion last year, up from $12 billion in 1987. By 2011, continued prison growth is expected to cost states an additional $25 billion.
The full report is available here. (pdf)

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posted by Chris Kromm at 11:50 AM | Email this post

Thursday, October 25, 2007

Crime is down; why do people think it's worse?

Crime is on people's minds -- and according to a Gallup poll released this week, many think crime is getting worse:



But crime isn't getting worse. In fact, violent crime rates have been on a steep 10-year decline, and the average U.S. resident is less likely to be victimized than anytime in recent memory:


This is especially true in Southern states, which historically have had higher violent crime rates. To take just one case, here's how murder rates per 100,000 people have plummeted in the South over the last 10 years -- note that only West Virginia saw an increase, and it was slight:

STATE -- 1996 MURDER RATE / 2006 MURDER RATE

Alabama -- 10.4 / 8.3
Arkansas -- 8.7 / 7.3
Florida -- 7.5 / 6.2
Georgia -- 9.5 / 6.4
Kentucky -- 5.9 / 4.0
Louisiana -- 17.5 / 12.4
Mississippi -- 11.1 / 7.7
North Carolina -- 8.5 / 6.1
South Carolina -- 9.0 / 8.3
Tennessee -- 9.5 / 6.8
Texas -- 7.7 / 5.9
Virginia -- 7.5 / 5.2
West Virginia -- 3.8 / 4.1

So why so people think crime is up? I agree with Texas blogger Grits for Breakfast that a leading cause is local news coverage, where each night's story lineup is driven by "if it bleeds, it leads."

Combine that with national TV's endless parade of cop shows and court coverage, leavened with bouts of politicians stirring up crime hysteria (usually with racial overtones), and you have the makings of a national perception about crime far out of pace of reality.

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posted by Chris Kromm at 10:02 AM | Email this post

Southern News Update

Who Are These Folks?

CHRIS KROMM blogs three days a week for Facing South. He is Executive Director of the Institute for Southern Studies and publisher of the Institute’s award-winning magazine, Southern Exposure.

R. NEAL blogs two days a week for Facing South. Based in Knoxville, TN, R. Neal formerly ran the popular blog South Knox Bubba. He is now coordinator of KnoxViews.

SUE STURGIS blogs three days a week for Facing South. The editorial coordinator of the Institute's Gulf Coast Reconstruction Watch website, she is a freelance reporter who lives and works in Raleigh, NC.

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