Super Tuesday South
Forget the Super Bowl -- in the political world, it's now the Super Tuesday Channel, all the time. And what about the Southern wing of the electoral tsunami that will sweep the nation tomorrow?
Out of the 24 primary contests tomorrow, four will be in the South. We'll know by the end of tomorrow night whether the smaller Southern contests will mean anything down the road; but if things stay tight, any one of these could be critical.
Who has the edge? Here are the latest polls:
*** DEMOCRATS ***
SHORT VERSION: Obama predicted to pick up the big one (Georgia); Clinton takes the small one (Arkansas), and probably Tennessee. Question mark: Will Obama-mentum carry in Alabama?
ALABAMA (60 delegates) -- Tie; trending Obama?
* Four most recent polls: Clinton 43, Obama 43 (RealClearPolitics)
ARKANSAS (47 delegates) -- Easily go for Clinton (former first lady and all ...)
GEORGIA (104 delegates) -- Easily go for Obama
* Five most recent polls: Obama 49, Clinton 34 (RealClearPolitics)
TENNESSEE (85 delegates) -- Favor Clinton; Obama gaining?
* Three most recent polls: Clinton 47, Obama 34 (RealClearPolitics)
The Democratic Party allots its delegates proportionally, so for a Dem analysis about what this could mean based on current polls, see this post over a Daily Kos.
*** REPUBLICANS ***
SHORT VERSION: GOP more focused here; McCain-momentum likely to help him carry three states; Romney and Huckabee duke it out amongst social conservatives, Huckabee only predicted to win home state.
ALABAMA (48 delegates) -- Favor McCain
* Four most recent polls: McCain 37, Huckabee 31, Romney 18 (RealClearPolitics)
ARKANSAS (34 delegates) -- Easily go for Huckabee (former guv)
GEORGIA (72 delegates) -- Edge to McCain
* Four most recent polls: McCain 32, Romney 29, Huckabee 25 (RealClearPolitics)
TENNESSEE (55 delegates) --Slight edge to McCain
* Three most recent polls: McCain 29, Huckabee 26, Romney 23 (RealClearPolitics)
Out of the 24 primary contests tomorrow, four will be in the South. We'll know by the end of tomorrow night whether the smaller Southern contests will mean anything down the road; but if things stay tight, any one of these could be critical.
Who has the edge? Here are the latest polls:
*** DEMOCRATS ***
SHORT VERSION: Obama predicted to pick up the big one (Georgia); Clinton takes the small one (Arkansas), and probably Tennessee. Question mark: Will Obama-mentum carry in Alabama?
ALABAMA (60 delegates) -- Tie; trending Obama?
* Four most recent polls: Clinton 43, Obama 43 (RealClearPolitics)
ARKANSAS (47 delegates) -- Easily go for Clinton (former first lady and all ...)
GEORGIA (104 delegates) -- Easily go for Obama
* Five most recent polls: Obama 49, Clinton 34 (RealClearPolitics)
TENNESSEE (85 delegates) -- Favor Clinton; Obama gaining?
* Three most recent polls: Clinton 47, Obama 34 (RealClearPolitics)
The Democratic Party allots its delegates proportionally, so for a Dem analysis about what this could mean based on current polls, see this post over a Daily Kos.
*** REPUBLICANS ***
SHORT VERSION: GOP more focused here; McCain-momentum likely to help him carry three states; Romney and Huckabee duke it out amongst social conservatives, Huckabee only predicted to win home state.
ALABAMA (48 delegates) -- Favor McCain
* Four most recent polls: McCain 37, Huckabee 31, Romney 18 (RealClearPolitics)
ARKANSAS (34 delegates) -- Easily go for Huckabee (former guv)
GEORGIA (72 delegates) -- Edge to McCain
* Four most recent polls: McCain 32, Romney 29, Huckabee 25 (RealClearPolitics)
TENNESSEE (55 delegates) --Slight edge to McCain
* Three most recent polls: McCain 29, Huckabee 26, Romney 23 (RealClearPolitics)
Labels: Election 2008, Southern Politics
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